SEACLIM - European SEAs CLIMate impact prediction through regional models
SEACLIM (European SEAs CLIMate impact prediction through regional models) aim to forecast the future of our regional seas, with decadal predictions and long-term climate projections.
The project focuses on the northeastern Atlantic, North Sea, western Mediterranean Sea, and Arctic Ocean. The researchers will develop and refine regional ocean models to produce detailed projections of marine conditions in European seas up to the year 2100. The results will show the changes of the marine environment, which is critical for environmental policy and decision-making to benefit society.

The illustration shows the predictions before and after SEACLIM.
SEACLIM will also develop regional ocean climate indicators for more detailed predictions; support the European Digital Twin of the Ocean (DTO) by generating “what-if” scenarios for climate change; and develop coastal and ocean climate services demonstrations.
Project goals
The overall objective of the project is to advance the understanding of physical and ecosystem processes in European seas to develop ocean models downscaled at regional level. Which will provide refined information on future decadal-to-multidecadal changes of the marine environment and related impacts, fundamental for climate policy and decision making.
Co-design and coordination with other initiatives and stakeholders will be promoted towards the future uptake and capacity building for regionally downscaled ocean decadal and climate projections.

About the project
Role of SMHI
Pasha Karami is managing the project at SMHI. He will lead work package three in charge of 21st Century Regional Ocean Projections. The work package is for example responsible for impact assessment of abrupt climate changes on ocean state and health. Abrupt changes related to Arctic Sea ice and the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC). SMHI is also contributing to work package four and six.
Project partners
SEACLIM is coordinated by Mercator Ocean International (MOi) in France. The project has 13 partners from 7 different countries. It includes research institutions, meteorological offices and environmental organizations.
Funding
Horizon Europe research and innovation programme.
Timeline
2025-2028.